Based on recent guidance and publicly available approvals, the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) has demonstrated its openness to considering evidence of effectiveness from real-world data (RWD) and nonrandomized studies (or “real-world evidence (RWE)”) in its decision making. Through analysis of the FDA approvals, several authors have identified methodologic issues commonly discussed by FDA reviewers. However, in our analysis of FDA guidance and use cases, acceptability of RWE also critically depends on whether the characteristics of the clinical development program align with circumstances in which the FDA may have flexibility in considering evidence from real-world study designs relative to more robust designs. Successful use of RWD requires advance planning to allocate the necessary resources and time to undertake principled epidemiology approaches to study design, data selection, and implementation of analyses as well as address regulatory feedback. Thus, sponsors benefit from early identification of programs in which successful RWD use is more likely, to ensure efficient use of resources required for the next steps of scientific feasibility assessment. We developed SURF, a screening tool intended to help a sponsor decide whether to prioritize resources for further exploring the feasibility of using an RWD approach to meet the FDA's effectiveness evidentiary standards for a particular clinical development program. Here, we provide an analysis of FDA guidance, highlighting the circumstances in which RWD approaches may be most acceptable, and demonstrate the use of this screening tool, including the rationale for its construction, types of evidence needed, and application to publicly available approvals as support of concept.
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